tasman

tasman2022-05-19T12:45:59+10:00

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  • tasman
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    Because vaccination reduces risk of admission to hospital, admission to ICU and death – not a waste of time to get vaccinated. Like seatbelts don’t prevent car crashes.

    NNZ being way too careful to cancel Otaki. Even with an outbreak, the actual comp is still many weeks away, case numbers are low in NZ and everyone is now vaccinated so low risk of significant harm. They could even ask everyone to home quarantine for 7 days with home RAT testing if they are worried about asymptomatic spread.

    tasman
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    I think Metuarau and Nweke show great potential but they aren’t quite ready yet for international and need to be paired with an experienced shooting partner or a dominant playmaking WA – neither of which were available this series in my opinion. Wilson needed to concentrate on getting herself right, which she absolutely did, and crampton had a quiet series.

    I would still take Nweke for the prelim stages or for a change of attacking pace which is sometimes required. I think fourth spot is between Metuarau and Mes, depending on how Bailey comes back in to anz.

    Unfortunately, i think the 4 midcourt players we have seen this series will be the ones going to cwg. Poi and Gordon are the dark horses, but with Kersten and Winders pairing up at the magic this season, with Eke, Mes and Rore, i think this pair will make the team. I actually think this is the best I’ve seen Kersten play, while Winders had little impact. I wonder which is the two will play centre though, as playing a whole season in WD will probably jeopardise their chance, as too many stronger options there like Burger or Johnson.

    I really hope Rore comes back firing and plays GD for pulse as i think we don’t have a strong option there. I thought Jury was ok until that fourth game where she got outplayed. Fitzpatrick showing better form this game but timing still not quite there. Johnson and karaka should get better with regular court time, but karaka seems the better of the two at present.

    My ferns team prediction:
    Wilson
    Eke
    Nweke
    Mes

    Crampton
    Saunders
    Kersten
    Poi

    Burger
    Fitzpatrick
    Rore
    Karaka

    tasman
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    Just watched the Silver ferns games and excited to see Johnson and Karaka back.

    Defence:
    As much as i like Burger, i don’t think she is ready to be the starting GD yet, especially without Watson in GK. She is still more suited to WD and wreaks havoc for her opposition there. I find that she just chases too much in GD against opposition like wood or housby, who are dominant playmakers that duck in and out of the circle. Johnson is a genuine option in GD and she looks more comfortable there, but her timing and decision making is still off, which i hope will come back after a full season in anz. She needs to find discipline with contesting ball rather than body/space when running with the GA. I wish i could have seen a bit more of karaka in GD as she seemed to be effective there. Fitzpatrick not quite the same player since her injury. Jury so much better in GK than GD but needs time to get the understanding with the GD candidates, none of whom she has played that much with in the past. Love her long reach but gets flat footed at times. Shame that Rore is moving to the magic so won’t get a chance to develop the combination with Jury at gk that she had built at the pulse.

    Midcourt:
    Crampton has been a bit quiet in the games against the roses and diamonds. But this is why we need a more attacking C because i find Gina often gets taken out of the game by the likes of Brazill or Guthrie. Winders and Kersten play C like WDs, too stationary and not presenting enough options – although i was surprised by how much better Kersten played than in previous series, while winders has had a quiet series so far. I can see what DNT likes about Kersten in that she plays a safe possession game, but this also means that her attacking play gets timid or hesitant at times. Would like to see Saunders start in C with crampton, although i love Saunders’ impact when she comes in at WA. Gordon and Poi will be training hard I’m sure.

    Attack:
    So great to see Wilson back to her previous form! Metuarau and Nweke with first series jitters but have only gotten better through the series. If only we got one more game against either the roses or diamonds! Would like to see Vui play even just 5 minutes. Think Eke and Wilson will start for cwg. Hope Mes is back fit in anz as she could push for a spot, although not sure if she would take place of grace or tiana…

    tasman
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    I think SM has chosen the best 12. Agree that there’s not much separating JLP and Moloney but i think Price has a bit more strength and physicality in WD – which can also be a weakness for her when being penalised too much. Also looking forward, price is younger so might as well keep her around to develop for the future.

    My prediction for starting 7:
    GS Bueta
    GA Wood
    WA Watson
    C Hadley
    WD Brazill
    GD Weston
    GK Bruce

    tasman
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    I agree about Nweke but she wasn’t quite there against England so if DNT sees this as a build up to CWG, she should try to give Nweke more court time. But if she is trying to win, i think she’ll opt for Wilson, assuming she is back to her previous form. Nweke’s foot work, ball handling and body positioning has improved a lot but still not good enough against the world’s best. I worry about how she’ll go against the likes of Bruce and Klau who are so physical and quite good against the holding shooters. I hope she gets a run against them, even if we lose.

    Although i would like to see Vui and MRB given a go, realistically, they are less likely to make the CWG team so i don’t think we should waste valuable international court time “blooding” them. Rather, i would leave the best 7 (+/- the impact players) out on court, even if they’re losing, to put pressure on them to try to get themselves out of trouble.

    With Cullen and Karaka, i also have my reservations about their selection, but i have faith that DNT would have only picked them because they were good enough to make the team in the trials, rather than historical form. So I’ll save my criticism until I’ve seen them out on court ;)

    I’m really really looking forward to these games. I will be so devastated if they cancel the series.

    tasman
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    Post count: 10

    What amazing depth they have in all areas of court! Who will they leave out for the CWGs?

    Defence:
    Mentor
    Guscoth
    Usoro-brown
    Francis-Bayman
    No other circle defenders in this team so picks itself!

    Mid court:
    Guthrie
    Haythornthwaite
    Clarke
    Malcolm (4th pick)
    Cobden and Allison missing out here as Guthrie, Clarke, Francis and Guscoth(?) can all cover WD and they need more WA cover in Malcolm

    Shooters – the hardest to pick:
    Harten
    Housby
    Cardwell
    Drakeford-Lewis (4th pick)
    Fisher missing out due to being less versatile, since SDL could also cover WA

    tasman
    Participant
    Post count: 10

    My starting seven – then changes i would consider:
    GS Wilson – Nweke to come on only if Wilson gets the wobbles
    GA Metuarau – do not take this girl off court! Vui only if injury occurs
    WA Crampton – Saunders in 3rd Q as impact player if Gina gets beaten
    C Saunders – Kersten if pace of game gets frenetic for the steadying influence, MRB in 4thQ if winning by wide margin
    WD Winders – change to Cullen in 2nd half as impact player if needed
    GD Burger – no change here, unless she has a bad game, then Cullen as substitute
    GK Fitzpatrick (or Jury if against Fowler) – Karaka as substitute if needed

    But i predict this will be DNTs seven:
    Wilson
    Metuarau
    Crampton
    Kersten
    Winders
    Burger
    Jury

    tasman
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    Post count: 10

    It was a shame the ferns had so many injuries during the series. I wish the Aucklanders had gotten their government exception earlier to fly down and train together. A “risk assessment” should have been expedited, because honestly it wouldn’t take more than 48 hours for someone to review the information, make a decision and sign off. When we talk about support for women’s sport, these are the tangible ways that the government can provide support – it’s not just money or stadiums that are required.

    England – Jade Clarke was always going to be included in the team but she is now pushing for a starting 7 position. Guthrie looks like the starting WD (rather than C) – i assumed Cobden had it sewn up, and while she was good, Guthrie is more menacing at WD and makes a more formidable combination with Clarke than Cobden. I think Cardwell and SDL have the 3rd and 4th shooting spots, mainly due to versatility and movement that Thirlby will want. Cardwell can hold quite well also.

    Silver Ferns – they need more practice playing against a 1on1 defence. The attacking players were clearly uncomfortable and made too many errors. Burger had a quiet game 3 but putting Jury at GD was not the right move, especially on SDL. Jury is much more effective at GK, it’s just that Cardwell had the better of her that time. Didn’t Burger ever play GK? Tong is a bit short for GK, I hope she finds her niche in GD/WD. Everyone is hating on Kersten but i think that’s the game that DNT wants from her – moving the ball around and releasing the pressure when required, rather than being a play maker or running a muck. Problem was that Saunders got shut down by Guthrie in that second half. I do prefer seeing Poi in there though because i think she handles the 1on1 defence much better due to her superior fitness. Again, wish Heffernan got a chance, even at WD since Laura Malcolm is also quite a tall WA. And Winders lost her potency in the second half. Grace should have gotten a second chance, particularly in that 4th quarter. Saunders used to play with Fowler so should be good to feed a tall holding shooter.

    tasman
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    Post count: 10

    Absolutely ridiculous. Who is doing their risk calculations? The time zone is not the only way that WA is behind…

    tasman
    Participant
    Post count: 10

    Agree with Tamsin! DNT is such a tactical master, i have faith in her selections, although, i really wanted to see Heffernan get a run with Saunders at WA, even if it was only the last 5 minutes of the game, just to get the first game jitters out of the way, and to see how she can connect with the ferns shooters and muscle up against Jade Clarke who was so influential. Kate’s height would be quite hard for the shorter middies to play against but obviously she is not at international level yet, so she needs time to develop. May be DNT is thinking she will be a player for the next 4 year cycle as the ferns are currently spoilt for choice in the midcourt.

    Also, i’m glad Peta and Grace played, albeit, a forgettable performance this time. But they will only get better from here.

    These international series are about player development. You might think it’s better to seal the deal by winning the first two games, then using the third game to blood the newbies and experiment with combos, but a dead rubber third game also allows England to do the same and experiment against the kiwis. But now that the series is still in contention, Thirlby is less likely to make many changes or experiment with new combinations, limiting their opportunities for developing their squad. DNT is very clever!!

    My prediction for Friday’s starting seven assuming Crampton is still out:
    GS Wilson
    GA Metuarau
    WA Saunders
    C Winders
    WD Gordon
    GD Burger
    GK Fitzpatrick

    If Crampton is back, probably Gordon will go to the bench with Saunders and Winders pushed back one position, and Jury might play in place of Fitzpatrick as they’ll have their Captain back. I think Sulu wasn’t very effective against Fisher but they’ll need her on-court leadership if Gina is still out.

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